Financial Planning
Retirement
Insurance
Cash Flow
Investment Planning
Taxes
Investing
"It's not the bulls and bears you need to avoid -- it's the bum steers."
- Chuck Hillis
Investment planning overview
Almost every investor would agree that two things are critical for
successful investing: First, having an effective investment
strategy, and secondly, having a solid understanding of their investments.
The fact there there is now more information on personal finance and
investing available then ever before should make easier than ever for
families, individuals, and small businesses. There are television programs,
thousands of books and magazines, and thousands of Internet web sites
all devoted to various aspects of personal finance.
Unfortunately, the sheer quantity of data has, for many, not led to a greater
understanding of their investments and financial markets, and therefore
better returns, but a confusing and almost overwhelming number of
financial options and choices to be made.
Making things more difficult still is how fast this information is changing.
Markets are more volatile, investments seemingly go from "cold to hot" and
vice versa much more quickly than before. And as the daily fluctuations of
the financial markets make their way more and more into everyday news and
conversations, many investors are getting caught up in the day-to-day
fluctuations of their holdings. This includes many previously "long-term"
investors, who are unable to watch from the sidelines and watch their
holdings decline or watch lost "opportunities" in the latest high-fliers.
It seems in this environment, many individuals and families simply feel
they don't have the time or resources to do the necessary research that an
effective investment plan entails. Unfortunately for the investor,
this often results in a hodge-podge of investments, with no coherent strategy
or understanding behind it. The results of such an ineffective strategy
can mean an investment portfolio that is either too risky or too defensive
for ones needs, does take into account tax considerations, is too
short-term or long-term for their purposes, etc.
In reality though, an individual or family can use a few resources and
learn some basic investment tools to design and establish an effective
investment plan. At Pace Financial Services we feel that for the investor
to make effective investment
decisions, an investment plan is needed. The cornerstone of the plan is
knowledge of the investor's financial goals. By using these goals or
objectives and going through the financial planning process, an effective investment
plan can be developed. In the developing of this investment plan, the
investor will know the scope of his or her investments: that is,
what he or she owns. This includes the amount that should be
allocated to stocks, bonds, foreign stocks, mutual funds, etc.
If a mutual fund is owned, the objective and basic composition of
its holdings should be understood as well as the tax
consequences of their investment holdings. Additionally, a a basic
understanding of how the economy and interest rates function and how
changes in these may influence the financial markets and their
investments should be understand.
At Pace Financial Services we believe in educating our clients on their
investments, and feel that this understand will only serve to benefit
our clients. We also are very aware of the time limitations of our
clients. We believe that with our help, we can help our clients use
the time spent on their personal finances in the most effective and financially rewarding way
possible.
Below are a few simple investment strategies and definitions
Systematic investing
All the principles and ideas of the best ways to invest are
meaningless unless there is a committment to saving and investing. If you
have difficulty putting aside enough each year to meet your goals (for
instance, 10% of your earned income) then perhaps a method of "forced"
savings would be appropriate. For instance, many institutions such as
banks, credit unions, and 401(k) plans, allow you to set aside a part of
your paycheck directly into an investment account. Even for those without a
weekly paycheck, many banks and credit unions will still allow a fixed
amount to be sent to an investment account on a regular basis. Consider
using the proceeds from any lump sum, such as a bonus or commission check, a
tax refund, or insurance proceeds, into an investment account whether
taxable or a deferred-taxation retirement program. The important thing is
to "pay yourself first" by putting aside as much as possible for your future
financial goals. As all successful long-term investors know, in investing,
"slow and steady" wins the race.
Long-term investing
Despite all the excitement and talk about day-trading and how momentum
players are influencing the market, the reality is that for almost all
investors, a long-term, buy and hold strategy is still the best. Studies
show again and again that those who hold their investments for the longest
periods, generally have the highest returns. Although the high returns that
a few fortunate short-term and momentum players may make the headlines, most
such investors do much worse than if they simply bought a good index mutual
fund.
For instance, a recent "Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior" study
done by Dalbar, Inc., found that investors who bought and held stock mutual
funds earned nearly 2 1/2 times that of the average investor over the
past 15 years. Specifically, investors the buy-and-hold investors earned an
average of 17.9% annually (roughly comparable with market averages),
while the average investor earned just 7.2%. The results clearly showed
how the investor who tries to "time" the market will usually: buy and sell
more frequently and will sell during market corrections and buy during
market tops.
Asset Allocation fundamentals
Asset allocation is simply the amount of total investments
allocated to small, mid, and large-cap U.S. stocks, foreign stocks,
bonds, cash, tangible assets, etc., But for most investors, this
allocation
will have the greatest impact on their investment results. An investment
portfolio with investments in various asset classes is the cornerstone
to achieving proper diversification. So why invest in different asset classes instead of a
single asset class, such as in a large-cap stocks? For at least two
reasons: First, one
asset class will perform better than another in a particular economic and
financial environment. In addition, different asset classes have different
expected returns (and expected risk) than others, making one more
suitable for a certain investor with a particular tolerance for risk. In
addition to an investor's level of risk tolerance, the time horizon of an
investor's goal (see below) will make a particular asset class more suitable
than another.
Secondly, these various asset classes will not be perfectly
correlated. Because of this, with a diversified investment portfolio with
investments in various asset classes, for any given time period,
poorly performing asset classes will be offset by higher performing asset
classes. The result of such a portfolio will lead to a lower level of
risk, or volatility, than would otherwise be expected for an
investment portfolio with a single asset class.
So how do I put together an investment portfolio with the right allocation
mix?
First, what is the specific financial goal or objective that
these funds will be used for? A particular goal might be one for
retirement, a child's education, a down payment for a new home, etc.
Each of these individual goals will have a certain time horizon
associated with them. For instance, in the prior examples, the time horizon
for the goal of retirement might be 35 years, for a child's education - 15
years, for a down payment for a home might be just 3-5 years. The diferent
time horizon for each of these goals will impact the proper asset allocation.
For example, someone with a short time horizon (1-3 years, for example),
will likely invest more in an asset class that has historically been less
volatile, than an investor with a goal that has a 25 year-time horizon.
However, this does not mean that two individuals with an investment goal
with the same time horizon will choose the exact same composition of
assets. This is because of each investor's particular level of
risk tolerance, or the amount of volatility a particular investor is
willing to accept to achieve his or her goal.
This level of risk tolerance is influenced by personal circumstances
such as employment stability, age, other financial assets owned,
the number of dependents, other financial goals, etc.
All this underscores the fact that no two investors are alike, and it is not
appropriate to say that a particular stock, bond, mutual fund, etc. is
"right" for somewhat just because it has good prospects or has done well in
the past. The most important part of a good investment plan are
investing in those types of investments or "asset classes" that are
appropriate for a given family or individual depending on their particular
circumstances.
David Alan Pace, CFP, CFA, EA, Pace Financial Services
This document is for information purposes only. No part of this report may
be reproduced in any manner without the written permission of Pace Financial
Services. The views and opinions expressed in this report are not intended
to serve as specific investment or financial planning advice or recommendations, and
individuals should discuss their specific financial goals and available
options with a professional advisor.
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